Far Too Early Top 25

I am of the mindset that pre-season polls should be eliminated.  Teams get incorrectly ranked too high or too low and it leads to good teams having to travel a hard road to get the proper ranking. I suspect this will really affect the mini-playoff to determine the national champ this year.  That being said I stumbled upon a far too early top 25 poll. What do you guys think?  Sound off in the message forums. 


http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2139768-preseason-college-football-rankings-2014-predicting-amway-coaches-top-25-poll

MLB Pick

I've been slowly but surely trying to get more into betting MLB and I wanted to share my progress here.  Unlike with college football betting, I do not have any sort of fancy statistical analysis to predict the outcome of games  My analysis is statistically based but nothing so exciting that I would want to share here.  Maybe one day I will take things a step further and have the computer make predictions but for now I am just going to share my picks so people can monitor my progress.

Yesterday I went 5-1 with MLB picks on the day, you can visit my twitter account at @absolutepigskin.com to see my results.  Today I have only one game that I like... Oakland @ Texas. 

RESULTS: 2-0 on the day, 7-1 overall.


Ray Rice, NFL Hypocricy

If reports are true, NFL commissioner Rodger Goddell is handing down a 2 game suspension during the 2014 season on Baltimore Raven's running back Ray Rice.  Behind the scenes it appears that the NFL is floating the notion that somehow Roger Goddell saw some yet unseen video evidence that helps support Ray Rice.  Implying that this unseen evidence somehow makes punching a woman and knocking her unconsciousness slightly more justified than it otherwise would have been. 

Short of his wife trying to murder an infant, trying to set an animal on fire or trying to murder Mr. Rice, I can't see how hitting a woman so hard she is knocked out is ever justified to any degree.

Let's compare Ray Rice's 2 game suspension to other recent suspensions of similar length in the NFL.

  • Mike Vick, QB Atlanta Falcons - 2 Game suspension in 2009 for involvement in dog fighting.
  • Plaxico Burress - WR New York Giants - 4 games + entire 2009 season (prison) for shooting himself in the leg.
  • Ndamukong Suh, DT Detroit Lions - 2 Game suspension in 2011 for stomping Green Bay offensive lineman Evan Dietrich-Smith
  • James Harrison, LB Pittsburgh Steelers - 1 Game suspension in 2011 for a violent tackle on Browns then QB Colt McCoy.
  • Terrell Pryor, QB Oakland Raiders - 5 Game suspension in 2011 for trading memorabilia for money and tattoos in college.
  • Lane Johnson, OL Philadelphia Eagles - 4 Game suspension 2014 for use of performance enhancing drugs.

In essence what the NFL is saying here is domestic abuse (in this case knocking the shit out of your now wife) is only slightly worse than tackling someone too hard in a game, around as bad as killing dogs but not NEARLY as bad as shooting yourself in the leg, a college athlete trying to make money on his name or a player taking some sort of performance enhancing drug. 

The reasoning behind the suspensions seems to fit the NFL profile of hypocrisy.  They don't really care about anything that ultimately doesn't really affect an image the NFL is trying to promote.  Plaxico gets a big suspension not because he is dumb and shoots himself, but the word "gun" is involved in his charges.  The word "gun" is a hot button political word... leads to lots of coverage and lots of outside parties getting involved.  You can't sweep something like that under the rug when a politician is writing speeches about the topic.  Terrell Pryor gets a big suspension not because what happened had anything to do with his status in the NFL, but it brought to light the farce that is the "amateur" status of collegiate athletes.  The message from the NFL to Pryor, do not do anything that potentially may mess with the free NFL minor league system, I mean college football.  Lane Johnson gets a big suspension because oh no, the NFL doesn't want people to know that most of the league is probably taking some sort of supplement to aid their performance.  Looks bad when pro athletes are juicing because they are supposed to be role models and the news jumps all over it.

The NFL only cares about it's image, nothing more.  The NFL doles out it's punishments based solely on how much they feel the offense affects their image.  If guns, gambling, collegiate athletics or PEDs are involved then they are coming after you guns blazing. 

If it's domestic violence on the other hand, it's treated as common place occurrence and as an act that one can somehow justify in some small way.  Oh, and don't worry, Ray Rice's wife has since apologized to him.  I guess he wouldn't have to hit her so hard if only she would have listened?  Judging from the suspension, in eyes of the NFL Rice's offense was much like a linebacker hitting a quarterback or wide receiver.  It wasn't that he hit his wife, it was just that he hit her a little too hard.


What do you think?  Talk about it and vote here in the message forums.

http://forum.absolutepigskin.com/default.aspx?g=posts&t=1004#post3006




Sports Betting in New Jersey

It's time to start allowing sports betting in casinos outside of Las Vegas.  I find it incredibly insulting to my intelligence the argument made by the various sports leagues that it is somehow legalizing sports betting is detrimental to their respective sports.  Like most things, their true gripe is they haven't figured out how to make money on controlling the actual sports bets; hence, they are trying to delay it nationwide.  New Jersey is on the right path and taking a similar approach to states like California who legalized pot, despite there being a federal ban against it.  

Basically states assert their rights as states and the federal government ultimately backs down.  It's just not worth the federal government's time and instead choose to fight other battles, ultimately ending up being the path to legal sports betting being commonplace around the country.  

Note:  I live near New Jersey so admittedly have a vested interest in seeing them get sports betting. 

NJ Passes Bill For Sports Betting

Message Forum Link

Just as a site note, some users may encounter problems visiting forum.absolutepigskin.com. It's due to the delay in the new subdomain, forum.absolutepigskin.com propagating to the various servers throughout the internet.  It's a normal thing but within the next 24-48 hours the process should be complete.  Thanks for your patience. 

The NFL Gambling Hypocrisy

Just wanted to share an interesting link regarding the NFL.  For a league who is super worried about the appearance that it supports sports gambling in any way (why they are against New Jersey trying to approve single game wagering) it is interesting that they are perfectly fine with starting a pay fantasy football service. I guess it's not so much a stance on whether they think gambling is bad and more a stance on how bad it is if someone else is making money off something NFL related. 

http://www.gamblinginsider.com/news.php?newsID=776


Welcome to the New AbsolutePigskin.com

Some of you may (or may not) have noticed but I have updated AbsolutePigskin.com.  I have scrapped the old, outdated application I used to power the website in favor of combining two new applications to power the articles and message forum sections.  

If you were a registered member of AbsolutePigskin.com you will have to register again for the website; remember, registration is free.  The only stipulation is that you have a working email address.  I don't sell or really do anything with your email address but it just helps cut down on the number of fake user accounts that get created by spammers.  I encourage everyone to register and start talking college football with fellow college football fans from around the world.  I also strongly encourage you to take a look at some of the new features available.  

There is a newly revamped private messaging system that helps you keep in contact with other members outside of the message forums if you so choose.  There are also features that allow you to post videos from sites like YouTube and Vimeo by simply pasting the link in your message forum post.  Also there is a live chat feature called "shoutbox".  This allows you to chat in real time with users who are also online.  Also it is worth mentioning that the website is optimized for both desktop computers and mobile devices. 


AbsolutePigskin.com remains dedicated to keeping up to date with college football news and more importantly to provide statistical analysis to give an advantage to the novice or professional college football sports better.  Remember, this is an absolutely free site.  I enjoy working in both the computer geek and sports geek end of things and hope along the way I help some people make some money betting on sports.  

Thank you for visiting the site, be sure you tell your friends about us and I look forward to catching up with everyone on here soon.

Just click on the "message forums" link at the top of this page and look for the "register" link to create your account today.


Sincerely,

Tom

AbsolutePigskin.com

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